Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a daytime maximum near 31–33°C for Busan on August 23 amid lingering summer heat, with coastal sea breezes limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. Recent observations confirm a persistent regional heat pattern through mid-to-late August, though cloud cover and light easterly winds are expected to cap peaks below prior-day levels. This consensus underpins the dominant 34°C market-implied probability, while lower odds on 35°C or higher reflect uncertainty in afternoon clearing and any model divergence on localized warming. Updated KMA guidance and real-time surface data releases remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 23?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 23?
34°C 58%
35°C 24%
36°C 7%
37°C or higher 1.3%
NOWE
$21,226 Wol.
NOWE
$21,226 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
65%
35°C
27%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 58%
35°C 24%
36°C 7%
37°C or higher 1.3%
NOWE
$21,226 Wol.
NOWE
$21,226 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$225 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$223 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$365 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$214 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,650 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,863 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$3,087 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$4,523 Wol.
65%
35°C
$2,886 Wol.
27%
36°C
$2,596 Wol.
7%
37°C or higher
$3,596 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a daytime maximum near 31–33°C for Busan on August 23 amid lingering summer heat, with coastal sea breezes limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. Recent observations confirm a persistent regional heat pattern through mid-to-late August, though cloud cover and light easterly winds are expected to cap peaks below prior-day levels. This consensus underpins the dominant 34°C market-implied probability, while lower odds on 35°C or higher reflect uncertainty in afternoon clearing and any model divergence on localized warming. Updated KMA guidance and real-time surface data releases remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,226Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a daytime maximum near 31–33°C for Busan on August 23 amid lingering summer heat, with coastal sea breezes limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. Recent observations confirm a persistent regional heat pattern through mid-to-late August, though cloud cover and light easterly winds are expected to cap peaks below prior-day levels. This consensus underpins the dominant 34°C market-implied probability, while lower odds on 35°C or higher reflect uncertainty in afternoon clearing and any model divergence on localized warming. Updated KMA guidance and real-time surface data releases remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,226Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a daytime maximum near 31–33°C for Busan on August 23 amid lingering summer heat, with coastal sea breezes limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. Recent observations confirm a persistent regional heat pattern through mid-to-late August, though cloud cover and light easterly winds are expected to cap peaks below prior-day levels. This consensus underpins the dominant 34°C market-implied probability, while lower odds on 35°C or higher reflect uncertainty in afternoon clearing and any model divergence on localized warming. Updated KMA guidance and real-time surface data releases remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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