KMA short-range forecasts project a 23°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the 99.4% market-implied probability. Persistent late-summer humidity and elevated dew points associated with the North Pacific high-pressure system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface and limits temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, with recent tropical-night observations (≥25°C) giving way to this slightly cooler guidance. Updated model runs showing clearer conditions or stronger steering flow could allow greater cooling and shift odds toward lower bins, though current consensus strongly supports the 23°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
23°C 99.4%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
NOWE
$18,235 Wol.
NOWE
$18,235 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
99%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.4%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
NOWE
$18,235 Wol.
NOWE
$18,235 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$1,520 Wol.
1%
21°C
$1,152 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,810 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$4,405 Wol.
99%
24°C
$1,599 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,437 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$3,217 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$463 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,065 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$229 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$339 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts project a 23°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the 99.4% market-implied probability. Persistent late-summer humidity and elevated dew points associated with the North Pacific high-pressure system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface and limits temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, with recent tropical-night observations (≥25°C) giving way to this slightly cooler guidance. Updated model runs showing clearer conditions or stronger steering flow could allow greater cooling and shift odds toward lower bins, though current consensus strongly supports the 23°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,235Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts project a 23°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the 99.4% market-implied probability. Persistent late-summer humidity and elevated dew points associated with the North Pacific high-pressure system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface and limits temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, with recent tropical-night observations (≥25°C) giving way to this slightly cooler guidance. Updated model runs showing clearer conditions or stronger steering flow could allow greater cooling and shift odds toward lower bins, though current consensus strongly supports the 23°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,235Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...KMA short-range forecasts project a 23°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the 99.4% market-implied probability. Persistent late-summer humidity and elevated dew points associated with the North Pacific high-pressure system suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface and limits temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, with recent tropical-night observations (≥25°C) giving way to this slightly cooler guidance. Updated model runs showing clearer conditions or stronger steering flow could allow greater cooling and shift odds toward lower bins, though current consensus strongly supports the 23°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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