National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Los Angeles on August 24 points to a daytime high in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light offshore flow, minimal marine layer intrusion, and clear skies supporting modest warming. These factors position the 82–83°F and 84–85°F ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes at 39.5% and 27.5% respectively, as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing limited deviation from seasonal norms around 82–84°F. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, with potential afternoon sea breezes or minor cloud cover able to cap temperatures, while any strengthening high-pressure ridge could push readings higher. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 10%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 10%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Los Angeles on August 24 points to a daytime high in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light offshore flow, minimal marine layer intrusion, and clear skies supporting modest warming. These factors position the 82–83°F and 84–85°F ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes at 39.5% and 27.5% respectively, as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing limited deviation from seasonal norms around 82–84°F. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, with potential afternoon sea breezes or minor cloud cover able to cap temperatures, while any strengthening high-pressure ridge could push readings higher. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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