Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high near 31–32°C for Taipei on August 24 amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, yet ensemble models show notable variability in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress afternoon peaks. Persistent cloud cover limits insolation while convective activity tied to the region's humid subtropical monsoon pattern often triggers brief cooling bursts, differentiating the closely matched 28–31°C outcomes. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds for 32°C+ or below 28°C aligning with historical August variability where typical highs reach 32°C but rain frequently caps readings. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of resolution will clarify steering patterns and instability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 19%
31°C 15%
$43,096 Wol.
$43,096 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
7%
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 19%
31°C 15%
$43,096 Wol.
$43,096 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high near 31–32°C for Taipei on August 24 amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, yet ensemble models show notable variability in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress afternoon peaks. Persistent cloud cover limits insolation while convective activity tied to the region's humid subtropical monsoon pattern often triggers brief cooling bursts, differentiating the closely matched 28–31°C outcomes. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds for 32°C+ or below 28°C aligning with historical August variability where typical highs reach 32°C but rain frequently caps readings. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of resolution will clarify steering patterns and instability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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