Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services, including the China Meteorological Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C for Beijing on August 23, aligning with live observations near 32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70%, and expected afternoon rainfall that limits solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for late August, with an average high near 30°C, reinforce this outcome over higher thresholds, as precipitation and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the market-implied 96.5% consensus on 33°C include delayed or lighter rain allowing additional warming or revised model runs showing stronger high-pressure influence, though current data indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
33°C 98%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$53,322 Wol.
$53,322 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
98%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 98%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$53,322 Wol.
$53,322 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$2,010 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,642 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$6,091 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$4,562 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$4,589 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$15,928 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$3,922 Wol.
98%
34°C
$4,413 Wol.
2%
35°C
$4,024 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$2,059 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,082 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services, including the China Meteorological Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C for Beijing on August 23, aligning with live observations near 32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70%, and expected afternoon rainfall that limits solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for late August, with an average high near 30°C, reinforce this outcome over higher thresholds, as precipitation and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the market-implied 96.5% consensus on 33°C include delayed or lighter rain allowing additional warming or revised model runs showing stronger high-pressure influence, though current data indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,322Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services, including the China Meteorological Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C for Beijing on August 23, aligning with live observations near 32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70%, and expected afternoon rainfall that limits solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for late August, with an average high near 30°C, reinforce this outcome over higher thresholds, as precipitation and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the market-implied 96.5% consensus on 33°C include delayed or lighter rain allowing additional warming or revised model runs showing stronger high-pressure influence, though current data indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,322Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services, including the China Meteorological Administration, project a maximum temperature of 33°C for Beijing on August 23, aligning with live observations near 32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70%, and expected afternoon rainfall that limits solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for late August, with an average high near 30°C, reinforce this outcome over higher thresholds, as precipitation and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the market-implied 96.5% consensus on 33°C include delayed or lighter rain allowing additional warming or revised model runs showing stronger high-pressure influence, though current data indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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