Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models places Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. This tight clustering drives the market’s leading probabilities on those exact outcomes. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in low-level moisture, convective timing, and cloud cover that can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C under typical late-summer monsoon flow. Historical August climatology shows comparable days averaging near 30–31 °C, so any delay in showers or reduced humidity would favor the upper end of the range while earlier or heavier rainfall would cap temperatures lower. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
33°C 30%
32°C 21%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
21%
33°C
30%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 30%
32°C 21%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$253 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$86 Wol.
1%
29°C
$18 Wol.
1%
30°C
$117 Wol.
4%
31°C
$681 Wol.
11%
32°C
$474 Wol.
21%
33°C
$485 Wol.
30%
34°C
$1,933 Wol.
19%
35°C
$922 Wol.
6%
36°C
$314 Wol.
4%
37°C or higher
$33 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models places Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. This tight clustering drives the market’s leading probabilities on those exact outcomes. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in low-level moisture, convective timing, and cloud cover that can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C under typical late-summer monsoon flow. Historical August climatology shows comparable days averaging near 30–31 °C, so any delay in showers or reduced humidity would favor the upper end of the range while earlier or heavier rainfall would cap temperatures lower. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,317Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models places Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. This tight clustering drives the market’s leading probabilities on those exact outcomes. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in low-level moisture, convective timing, and cloud cover that can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C under typical late-summer monsoon flow. Historical August climatology shows comparable days averaging near 30–31 °C, so any delay in showers or reduced humidity would favor the upper end of the range while earlier or heavier rainfall would cap temperatures lower. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,317Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models places Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. This tight clustering drives the market’s leading probabilities on those exact outcomes. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in low-level moisture, convective timing, and cloud cover that can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C under typical late-summer monsoon flow. Historical August climatology shows comparable days averaging near 30–31 °C, so any delay in showers or reduced humidity would favor the upper end of the range while earlier or heavier rainfall would cap temperatures lower. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania