Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
9°C or below 91%
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
12°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
91%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
43%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 91%
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
12°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Wol.
91%
10°C
$5 Wol.
46%
11°C
$5 Wol.
46%
12°C
$0 Wol.
43%
13°C
$0 Wol.
26%
14°C
$0 Wol.
28%
15°C
$0 Wol.
28%
16°C
$0 Wol.
28%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
25%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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