**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 32°C (99.4% implied probability) because real-time observations from Incheon International Airport (RKSI), the official resolution station, show a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds around 5–10 mph.** Surface reports through the afternoon reached 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) with dew points near 24–25°C and no precipitation, consistent with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and numerical model runs that capped peak heating in this late-August regime. Historical climatology for the period supports highs near 30–31°C, and the observed conditions—moderate humidity, limited insolation from cloud cover, and steady onshore flow—prevented further intensification. The tiny probabilities on 33°C or higher reflect realistic but low-likelihood scenarios such as unexpected late-day clearing or localized warming that could push readings one degree above the current peak. Conversely, any downward revision in final verified data remains improbable given the consistency across multiple hourly reports. Market positioning thus mirrors skin-in-the-game aggregation of official station data and short-range forecast consensus rather than speculation.