Southwest Monsoon conditions dominate Manila on August 23, 2026, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated rainshowers, and thunderstorms moderating daytime heating. Official PAGASA data show recent maxima near 31.9°C, consistent with long-term August averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity and frequent convection. These factors position 32°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability, while 33–34°C outcomes reflect potential for brief clearer intervals or reduced rainfall allowing slightly higher peaks. Lower probabilities for extremes align with monsoon-driven suppression of intense solar heating and historical rarity of 35°C+ readings in the wet season. Updated local observations and model runs through the day will refine resolution criteria around peak recorded temperature.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 23?
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
34°C 6.7%
35°C or higher <1%
$18,586 Wol.
$18,586 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
56%
33°C
22%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
34°C 6.7%
35°C or higher <1%
$18,586 Wol.
$18,586 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$335 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$947 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$4,805 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,692 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,435 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,360 Wol.
56%
33°C
$1,583 Wol.
22%
34°C
$1,486 Wol.
20%
35°C or higher
$1,425 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest Monsoon conditions dominate Manila on August 23, 2026, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated rainshowers, and thunderstorms moderating daytime heating. Official PAGASA data show recent maxima near 31.9°C, consistent with long-term August averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity and frequent convection. These factors position 32°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability, while 33–34°C outcomes reflect potential for brief clearer intervals or reduced rainfall allowing slightly higher peaks. Lower probabilities for extremes align with monsoon-driven suppression of intense solar heating and historical rarity of 35°C+ readings in the wet season. Updated local observations and model runs through the day will refine resolution criteria around peak recorded temperature.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,586Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest Monsoon conditions dominate Manila on August 23, 2026, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated rainshowers, and thunderstorms moderating daytime heating. Official PAGASA data show recent maxima near 31.9°C, consistent with long-term August averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity and frequent convection. These factors position 32°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability, while 33–34°C outcomes reflect potential for brief clearer intervals or reduced rainfall allowing slightly higher peaks. Lower probabilities for extremes align with monsoon-driven suppression of intense solar heating and historical rarity of 35°C+ readings in the wet season. Updated local observations and model runs through the day will refine resolution criteria around peak recorded temperature.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,586Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest Monsoon conditions dominate Manila on August 23, 2026, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated rainshowers, and thunderstorms moderating daytime heating. Official PAGASA data show recent maxima near 31.9°C, consistent with long-term August averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity and frequent convection. These factors position 32°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability, while 33–34°C outcomes reflect potential for brief clearer intervals or reduced rainfall allowing slightly higher peaks. Lower probabilities for extremes align with monsoon-driven suppression of intense solar heating and historical rarity of 35°C+ readings in the wet season. Updated local observations and model runs through the day will refine resolution criteria around peak recorded temperature.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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