Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 25, 2026, indicate a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31–32°C outcomes. Regional models show typical late-summer subsidence suppressing cloud formation and limiting convective activity, while daytime heating in the Anatolian plateau's continental climate drives peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32°C. Recent model runs reflect modest cooling from mid-month highs near 35°C, with minimal precipitation expected and low uncertainty in the 24–48-hour window before resolution. Traders appear to price in this consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles, though minor forecast revisions could shift probabilities if boundary-layer mixing or advection changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 50%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
29°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
50%
32°C
29%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 50%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
29°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$18 Wol.
1%
27°C
$8 Wol.
1%
28°C
$8 Wol.
1%
29°C
$32 Wol.
5%
30°C
$116 Wol.
17%
31°C
$189 Wol.
50%
32°C
$60 Wol.
29%
33°C
$8 Wol.
5%
34°C
$8 Wol.
3%
35°C
$5 Wol.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 25, 2026, indicate a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31–32°C outcomes. Regional models show typical late-summer subsidence suppressing cloud formation and limiting convective activity, while daytime heating in the Anatolian plateau's continental climate drives peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32°C. Recent model runs reflect modest cooling from mid-month highs near 35°C, with minimal precipitation expected and low uncertainty in the 24–48-hour window before resolution. Traders appear to price in this consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles, though minor forecast revisions could shift probabilities if boundary-layer mixing or advection changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$459Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 25, 2026, indicate a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31–32°C outcomes. Regional models show typical late-summer subsidence suppressing cloud formation and limiting convective activity, while daytime heating in the Anatolian plateau's continental climate drives peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32°C. Recent model runs reflect modest cooling from mid-month highs near 35°C, with minimal precipitation expected and low uncertainty in the 24–48-hour window before resolution. Traders appear to price in this consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles, though minor forecast revisions could shift probabilities if boundary-layer mixing or advection changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$459Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 25, 2026, indicate a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31–32°C outcomes. Regional models show typical late-summer subsidence suppressing cloud formation and limiting convective activity, while daytime heating in the Anatolian plateau's continental climate drives peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32°C. Recent model runs reflect modest cooling from mid-month highs near 35°C, with minimal precipitation expected and low uncertainty in the 24–48-hour window before resolution. Traders appear to price in this consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles, though minor forecast revisions could shift probabilities if boundary-layer mixing or advection changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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