Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Ankara's overnight minimum on August 25 stabilizing near 17–19 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and dew points in the low teens, consistent with the city's 900 m elevation and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with few members dipping below 16 °C or exceeding 20 °C, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed keep the precise hourly low uncertain. This scientific consensus explains the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while narrower probabilities cluster around the 16–18 °C range that aligns with current guidance. Updated model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
87%
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
45%
16°C
$0 Wol.
28%
17°C
$0 Wol.
28%
18°C
$0 Wol.
23%
19°C
$30 Wol.
18%
20°C
$15 Wol.
20%
21°C
$145 Wol.
1%
22°C
$135 Wol.
1%
23°C
$300 Wol.
1%
24°C
$445 Wol.
1%
25°C or higher
$5 Wol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Ankara's overnight minimum on August 25 stabilizing near 17–19 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and dew points in the low teens, consistent with the city's 900 m elevation and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with few members dipping below 16 °C or exceeding 20 °C, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed keep the precise hourly low uncertain. This scientific consensus explains the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while narrower probabilities cluster around the 16–18 °C range that aligns with current guidance. Updated model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,075Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Ankara's overnight minimum on August 25 stabilizing near 17–19 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and dew points in the low teens, consistent with the city's 900 m elevation and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with few members dipping below 16 °C or exceeding 20 °C, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed keep the precise hourly low uncertain. This scientific consensus explains the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while narrower probabilities cluster around the 16–18 °C range that aligns with current guidance. Updated model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,075Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Ankara's overnight minimum on August 25 stabilizing near 17–19 °C under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and dew points in the low teens, consistent with the city's 900 m elevation and typical late-summer radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with few members dipping below 16 °C or exceeding 20 °C, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed keep the precise hourly low uncertain. This scientific consensus explains the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while narrower probabilities cluster around the 16–18 °C range that aligns with current guidance. Updated model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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