Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms expected to increase through the day. High relative humidity (75-95%) and southwesterly winds of force 4-5 will further moderate surface heating by limiting solar insolation under persistent cloud cover. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model guidance shows minor divergence on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1-2°C when rain arrives earlier or proves heavier than anticipated. Any temporary breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 32°C, while stronger or prolonged storms favor the lower side. Updated model runs and the evening observation window will provide the final resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
NOWE
$17,771 Wol.
NOWE
$17,771 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
30%
31°C
39%
32°C
21%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
NOWE
$17,771 Wol.
NOWE
$17,771 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$203 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$88 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$170 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,292 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,594 Wol.
1%
29°C
$2,142 Wol.
8%
30°C
$2,762 Wol.
30%
31°C
$2,363 Wol.
39%
32°C
$1,666 Wol.
21%
33°C
$2,845 Wol.
5%
34°C or higher
$647 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms expected to increase through the day. High relative humidity (75-95%) and southwesterly winds of force 4-5 will further moderate surface heating by limiting solar insolation under persistent cloud cover. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model guidance shows minor divergence on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1-2°C when rain arrives earlier or proves heavier than anticipated. Any temporary breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 32°C, while stronger or prolonged storms favor the lower side. Updated model runs and the evening observation window will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,771Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms expected to increase through the day. High relative humidity (75-95%) and southwesterly winds of force 4-5 will further moderate surface heating by limiting solar insolation under persistent cloud cover. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model guidance shows minor divergence on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1-2°C when rain arrives earlier or proves heavier than anticipated. Any temporary breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 32°C, while stronger or prolonged storms favor the lower side. Updated model runs and the evening observation window will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,771Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms expected to increase through the day. High relative humidity (75-95%) and southwesterly winds of force 4-5 will further moderate surface heating by limiting solar insolation under persistent cloud cover. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30-32°C because model guidance shows minor divergence on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1-2°C when rain arrives earlier or proves heavier than anticipated. Any temporary breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 32°C, while stronger or prolonged storms favor the lower side. Updated model runs and the evening observation window will provide the final resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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