Current forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a warm, humid air mass over the Korean Peninsula, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime highs near 33–35°C in Busan on August 24. Urban heat-island effects in the coastal city, combined with a long-term regional warming trend, elevate the likelihood of readings reaching the upper end of that range. Late-August climatology shows typical peaks of 29–31°C, so any model consensus above 33°C represents an anomalous but increasingly frequent late-summer signal. The implied probability distribution favors 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Updated KMA short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow will determine the final bracket.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 45%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
45%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 45%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$48 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$126 Wol.
1%
30°C
$126 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$126 Wol.
1%
32°C
$286 Wol.
1%
33°C
$199 Wol.
5%
34°C
$847 Wol.
24%
35°C
$905 Wol.
45%
36°C
$1,616 Wol.
21%
37°C
$827 Wol.
4%
38°C or higher
$711 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a warm, humid air mass over the Korean Peninsula, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime highs near 33–35°C in Busan on August 24. Urban heat-island effects in the coastal city, combined with a long-term regional warming trend, elevate the likelihood of readings reaching the upper end of that range. Late-August climatology shows typical peaks of 29–31°C, so any model consensus above 33°C represents an anomalous but increasingly frequent late-summer signal. The implied probability distribution favors 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Updated KMA short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow will determine the final bracket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,816Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a warm, humid air mass over the Korean Peninsula, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime highs near 33–35°C in Busan on August 24. Urban heat-island effects in the coastal city, combined with a long-term regional warming trend, elevate the likelihood of readings reaching the upper end of that range. Late-August climatology shows typical peaks of 29–31°C, so any model consensus above 33°C represents an anomalous but increasingly frequent late-summer signal. The implied probability distribution favors 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Updated KMA short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow will determine the final bracket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,816Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a warm, humid air mass over the Korean Peninsula, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting daytime highs near 33–35°C in Busan on August 24. Urban heat-island effects in the coastal city, combined with a long-term regional warming trend, elevate the likelihood of readings reaching the upper end of that range. Late-August climatology shows typical peaks of 29–31°C, so any model consensus above 33°C represents an anomalous but increasingly frequent late-summer signal. The implied probability distribution favors 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Updated KMA short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow will determine the final bracket.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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