**Forecast model consensus positions 21–22°C as the dominant outcomes for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 24.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under easterly flow from a high-pressure ridge centered over the North Sea, delivering dry, stable air with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of ~21.6°C at Schiphol, reducing upside risk for 23°C+ while keeping sub-20°C unlikely absent unexpected cloud cover or a faster marine layer. Recent model runs show minimal spread through the 24-hour window, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 21–22°C bracket as the most probable resolution range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
21°C 49%
22°C 37%
20°C 11%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
49%
22°C
37%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 49%
22°C 37%
20°C 11%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$233 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$71 Wol.
1%
19°C
$142 Wol.
2%
20°C
$630 Wol.
11%
21°C
$661 Wol.
49%
22°C
$1,405 Wol.
37%
23°C
$831 Wol.
6%
24°C
$184 Wol.
3%
25°C
$165 Wol.
1%
26°C
$99 Wol.
1%
27°C or higher
$358 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus positions 21–22°C as the dominant outcomes for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 24.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under easterly flow from a high-pressure ridge centered over the North Sea, delivering dry, stable air with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of ~21.6°C at Schiphol, reducing upside risk for 23°C+ while keeping sub-20°C unlikely absent unexpected cloud cover or a faster marine layer. Recent model runs show minimal spread through the 24-hour window, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 21–22°C bracket as the most probable resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,780Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus positions 21–22°C as the dominant outcomes for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 24.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under easterly flow from a high-pressure ridge centered over the North Sea, delivering dry, stable air with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of ~21.6°C at Schiphol, reducing upside risk for 23°C+ while keeping sub-20°C unlikely absent unexpected cloud cover or a faster marine layer. Recent model runs show minimal spread through the 24-hour window, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 21–22°C bracket as the most probable resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,780Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus positions 21–22°C as the dominant outcomes for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 24.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under easterly flow from a high-pressure ridge centered over the North Sea, delivering dry, stable air with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of ~21.6°C at Schiphol, reducing upside risk for 23°C+ while keeping sub-20°C unlikely absent unexpected cloud cover or a faster marine layer. Recent model runs show minimal spread through the 24-hour window, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 21–22°C bracket as the most probable resolution range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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