National Weather Service forecast matrices and model consensus project a high near 101–103°F for Houston on August 23 under sunny skies and light southwest winds, with afternoon dew points in the upper 60s supporting strong surface heating without significant cloud cover or moisture advection. Recent days have featured similar 100–102°F maxima amid a persistent subtropical ridge, aligning with climatological norms for late August while remaining several degrees below historical daily records. This data underpins trader consensus on the 100–101°F bin at 63% implied probability, with limited model spread reducing odds of exceeding 103°F or falling to the upper 90s. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 23?
100-101°F 62%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 1.3%
$13,547 Wol.
$13,547 Wol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
62%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 62%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 1.3%
$13,547 Wol.
$13,547 Wol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
62%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast matrices and model consensus project a high near 101–103°F for Houston on August 23 under sunny skies and light southwest winds, with afternoon dew points in the upper 60s supporting strong surface heating without significant cloud cover or moisture advection. Recent days have featured similar 100–102°F maxima amid a persistent subtropical ridge, aligning with climatological norms for late August while remaining several degrees below historical daily records. This data underpins trader consensus on the 100–101°F bin at 63% implied probability, with limited model spread reducing odds of exceeding 103°F or falling to the upper 90s. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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