Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate nighttime lows near 10–13°C under partly clear conditions, but model runs show notable divergence in cloud cover and advection patterns over the next 48 hours that could push minimum temperatures either below 8°C with strong radiative cooling or above 16°C if warmer air advects in. This uncertainty, typical for late-summer continental regimes where high-pressure systems can produce sharp diurnal swings, underpins the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology against ensemble spreads, recognizing that even modest shifts in wind direction or overnight cloudiness can alter the recorded minimum by several degrees before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8月26日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
7°C or below 60%
17°C or higher 60%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
7°C or below
60%
8°C
43%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
2%
16°C
43%
17°C or higher
60%
7°C or below 60%
17°C or higher 60%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
60%
8°C
$0 Vol.
43%
9°C
$0 Vol.
48%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
48%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate nighttime lows near 10–13°C under partly clear conditions, but model runs show notable divergence in cloud cover and advection patterns over the next 48 hours that could push minimum temperatures either below 8°C with strong radiative cooling or above 16°C if warmer air advects in. This uncertainty, typical for late-summer continental regimes where high-pressure systems can produce sharp diurnal swings, underpins the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology against ensemble spreads, recognizing that even modest shifts in wind direction or overnight cloudiness can alter the recorded minimum by several degrees before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate nighttime lows near 10–13°C under partly clear conditions, but model runs show notable divergence in cloud cover and advection patterns over the next 48 hours that could push minimum temperatures either below 8°C with strong radiative cooling or above 16°C if warmer air advects in. This uncertainty, typical for late-summer continental regimes where high-pressure systems can produce sharp diurnal swings, underpins the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology against ensemble spreads, recognizing that even modest shifts in wind direction or overnight cloudiness can alter the recorded minimum by several degrees before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Warsaw indicate nighttime lows near 10–13°C under partly clear conditions, but model runs show notable divergence in cloud cover and advection patterns over the next 48 hours that could push minimum temperatures either below 8°C with strong radiative cooling or above 16°C if warmer air advects in. This uncertainty, typical for late-summer continental regimes where high-pressure systems can produce sharp diurnal swings, underpins the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology against ensemble spreads, recognizing that even modest shifts in wind direction or overnight cloudiness can alter the recorded minimum by several degrees before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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