**Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies are keeping late-August temperatures elevated in Wuhan, with official guidance and ensemble models showing daily maxima clustered around 35–37°C for August 26.** Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to 35–36°C under sunny conditions with light easterly flow, while some AccuWeather guidance has trended slightly warmer near 38°C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability: minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any weak short-wave disturbances can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology for Wuhan in late August shows highs most often between 33–38°C, so the current market distribution—with 36°C and 37°C as the closest outcomes—captures the realistic envelope of outcomes given model spread and the short lead time to resolution. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の武漢の最高気温は？
8月26日の武漢の最高気温は？
37°C 33%
36°C 29%
38°C 18%
35°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
8%
35°C
12%
36°C
29%
37°C
33%
38°C
18%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
1%
37°C 33%
36°C 29%
38°C 18%
35°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$17 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
29%
37°C
$11 Vol.
33%
38°C
$18 Vol.
18%
39°C
$0 Vol.
5%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies are keeping late-August temperatures elevated in Wuhan, with official guidance and ensemble models showing daily maxima clustered around 35–37°C for August 26.**
Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to 35–36°C under sunny conditions with light easterly flow, while some AccuWeather guidance has trended slightly warmer near 38°C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability: minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any weak short-wave disturbances can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology for Wuhan in late August shows highs most often between 33–38°C, so the current market distribution—with 36°C and 37°C as the closest outcomes—captures the realistic envelope of outcomes given model spread and the short lead time to resolution. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$46終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies are keeping late-August temperatures elevated in Wuhan, with official guidance and ensemble models showing daily maxima clustered around 35–37°C for August 26.**
Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to 35–36°C under sunny conditions with light easterly flow, while some AccuWeather guidance has trended slightly warmer near 38°C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability: minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any weak short-wave disturbances can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology for Wuhan in late August shows highs most often between 33–38°C, so the current market distribution—with 36°C and 37°C as the closest outcomes—captures the realistic envelope of outcomes given model spread and the short lead time to resolution. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$46終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies are keeping late-August temperatures elevated in Wuhan, with official guidance and ensemble models showing daily maxima clustered around 35–37°C for August 26.** Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to 35–36°C under sunny conditions with light easterly flow, while some AccuWeather guidance has trended slightly warmer near 38°C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability: minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any weak short-wave disturbances can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology for Wuhan in late August shows highs most often between 33–38°C, so the current market distribution—with 36°C and 37°C as the closest outcomes—captures the realistic envelope of outcomes given model spread and the short lead time to resolution. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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