Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 24 align with the city's subtropical monsoon climate, where August highs typically average 32°C amid high humidity above 75% and frequent afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by seasonal moisture influx and convective instability, create narrow uncertainty around peak temperatures, with models showing similar daytime maxima near 31–32°C depending on cloud timing and precipitation onset. Recent days have recorded comparable 30–32°C peaks under patchy rain, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds while underscoring how variable convective activity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の深センの最高気温は?
31℃ 30%
32°C 26%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
$14,666 Vol.
$14,666 Vol.
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31℃
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35℃以上
1%
31℃ 30%
32°C 26%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
$14,666 Vol.
$14,666 Vol.
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31℃
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 24 align with the city's subtropical monsoon climate, where August highs typically average 32°C amid high humidity above 75% and frequent afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by seasonal moisture influx and convective instability, create narrow uncertainty around peak temperatures, with models showing similar daytime maxima near 31–32°C depending on cloud timing and precipitation onset. Recent days have recorded comparable 30–32°C peaks under patchy rain, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds while underscoring how variable convective activity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問