Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicates Warsaw will experience mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow under high pressure on August 26, supporting a daytime maximum near 23°C after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Key variables separating the tightly matched 20–24°C outcomes include minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, exact wind speeds, and any subtle diurnal cloud development that could cap afternoon heating by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations, traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily while noting typical ensemble spreads of ±1–2°C at this lead time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のワルシャワの最高気温は?
23°C 37%
22°C 32%
24°C 25%
21°C 12%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
12%
22°C
32%
23°C
37%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 37%
22°C 32%
24°C 25%
21°C 12%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
12%
22°C
32%
23°C
37%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicates Warsaw will experience mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow under high pressure on August 26, supporting a daytime maximum near 23°C after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Key variables separating the tightly matched 20–24°C outcomes include minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, exact wind speeds, and any subtle diurnal cloud development that could cap afternoon heating by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations, traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily while noting typical ensemble spreads of ±1–2°C at this lead time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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