Persistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の深センの最高気温は？
8月26日の深センの最高気温は？
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 18%
34°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
18%
33°C
12%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 18%
34°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$14 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$21 Vol.
31%
31°C
$0 Vol.
29%
32°C
$3 Vol.
18%
33°C
$25 Vol.
12%
34°C
$5 Vol.
15%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$73終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$73終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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