Recent model consensus from sources including Worldmeteo and Met Office points to a daily minimum temperature near 29–32°C for Jeddah on August 26, driven by typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling and maintains elevated dew points around 20–24°C. August climatology shows average lows near 27°C, with recent station data reflecting 28–32°C minima amid stable high-pressure conditions and negligible precipitation. Trader emphasis on the 25°C-or-below outcome (49.5% implied probability) versus 31–32°C (25% each) appears to incorporate uncertainty around short-term model variability or localized wind shifts, while negligible odds for 35°C+ align with the low likelihood of anomalous warming. Updated forecasts and official station readings expected within 48 hours will provide the key resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のジェッダの最低気温は?
25°C or below 98%
31°C 50%
32℃ 50%
26°C 49%
25°C or below
98%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
49%
30℃
49%
31°C
50%
32℃
50%
33℃
49%
34°C
49%
35°C以上
1%
25°C or below 98%
31°C 50%
32℃ 50%
26°C 49%
25°C or below
98%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
49%
30℃
49%
31°C
50%
32℃
50%
33℃
49%
34°C
49%
35°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources including Worldmeteo and Met Office points to a daily minimum temperature near 29–32°C for Jeddah on August 26, driven by typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling and maintains elevated dew points around 20–24°C. August climatology shows average lows near 27°C, with recent station data reflecting 28–32°C minima amid stable high-pressure conditions and negligible precipitation. Trader emphasis on the 25°C-or-below outcome (49.5% implied probability) versus 31–32°C (25% each) appears to incorporate uncertainty around short-term model variability or localized wind shifts, while negligible odds for 35°C+ align with the low likelihood of anomalous warming. Updated forecasts and official station readings expected within 48 hours will provide the key resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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