Forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological centers indicate Chengdu's daily minimum on August 26 will likely settle near 25°C, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader balance between ≤20°C (49.5%) and ≥30°C (48.5%) reflects uncertainty in how persistent monsoon moisture versus any clearing skies will influence boundary-layer temperatures overnight. Clear, dry conditions could enhance longwave radiation loss and push the low well below seasonal norms, while thick cloud decks or warm-air advection would limit cooling and support higher readings. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and satellite updates on regional pressure patterns will likely clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の成都の最低気温は?
20°C or below 60%
30°C or higher 60%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
60%
21°C
43%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C or higher
60%
20°C or below 60%
30°C or higher 60%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
60%
21°C
43%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological centers indicate Chengdu's daily minimum on August 26 will likely settle near 25°C, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader balance between ≤20°C (49.5%) and ≥30°C (48.5%) reflects uncertainty in how persistent monsoon moisture versus any clearing skies will influence boundary-layer temperatures overnight. Clear, dry conditions could enhance longwave radiation loss and push the low well below seasonal norms, while thick cloud decks or warm-air advection would limit cooling and support higher readings. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and satellite updates on regional pressure patterns will likely clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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