Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight in Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate, driving minimum temperatures to 17–18 °C on August 24. Model consensus places the low near or slightly below the 17 °C threshold, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 15–19 °C and recent diurnal ranges showing highs near 33 °C. Trader consensus at 92 % for 17 °C or below therefore reflects alignment between ensemble guidance and climatological baselines, with low implied probabilities for warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a shift to southerly flow that reduces nocturnal cooling, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のアンカラの最低気温は？
8月24日のアンカラの最低気温は？
17℃以下 92%
18℃ 14%
19°C 3%
20℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
17℃以下
92%
18℃
14%
19°C
3%
20℃
1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
17℃以下 92%
18℃ 14%
19°C 3%
20℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
17℃以下
$7 Vol.
92%
18℃
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$6 Vol.
3%
20℃
$122 Vol.
1%
21°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$295 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$117 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$132 Vol.
<1%
27℃以上
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight in Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate, driving minimum temperatures to 17–18 °C on August 24. Model consensus places the low near or slightly below the 17 °C threshold, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 15–19 °C and recent diurnal ranges showing highs near 33 °C. Trader consensus at 92 % for 17 °C or below therefore reflects alignment between ensemble guidance and climatological baselines, with low implied probabilities for warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a shift to southerly flow that reduces nocturnal cooling, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
音量
$1,501終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight in Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate, driving minimum temperatures to 17–18 °C on August 24. Model consensus places the low near or slightly below the 17 °C threshold, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 15–19 °C and recent diurnal ranges showing highs near 33 °C. Trader consensus at 92 % for 17 °C or below therefore reflects alignment between ensemble guidance and climatological baselines, with low implied probabilities for warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a shift to southerly flow that reduces nocturnal cooling, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,501終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies project clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight in Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate, driving minimum temperatures to 17–18 °C on August 24. Model consensus places the low near or slightly below the 17 °C threshold, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 15–19 °C and recent diurnal ranges showing highs near 33 °C. Trader consensus at 92 % for 17 °C or below therefore reflects alignment between ensemble guidance and climatological baselines, with low implied probabilities for warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a shift to southerly flow that reduces nocturnal cooling, though no such signals appear in the latest runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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