Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 33°C for Ankara on August 24 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, following highs of 34–35°C on the prior two days. This aligns with the late-August seasonal decline in continental high temperatures, driven by gradually shortening daylight and stable high-pressure patterns that limit moisture and cloud formation while allowing strong daytime insolation. Ensemble model consensus and historical analogs for the period show limited variability, with most runs clustering between 31–34°C and low odds of extremes due to the absence of frontal systems or heat domes. Trader positioning around 32°C as the mode reflects weighting toward these official guidance values, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes accounting for minor forecast adjustments possible from the final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のアンカラの最高気温は？
8月24日のアンカラの最高気温は？
32°C 66%
33°C 22%
31°C 13%
30°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C
66%
33°C
22%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 22%
31°C 13%
30°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
28°C or below
$408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$478 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,115 Vol.
13%
32°C
$1,552 Vol.
66%
33°C
$1,000 Vol.
22%
34°C
$454 Vol.
2%
35°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 33°C for Ankara on August 24 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, following highs of 34–35°C on the prior two days. This aligns with the late-August seasonal decline in continental high temperatures, driven by gradually shortening daylight and stable high-pressure patterns that limit moisture and cloud formation while allowing strong daytime insolation. Ensemble model consensus and historical analogs for the period show limited variability, with most runs clustering between 31–34°C and low odds of extremes due to the absence of frontal systems or heat domes. Trader positioning around 32°C as the mode reflects weighting toward these official guidance values, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes accounting for minor forecast adjustments possible from the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
音量
$6,391終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 33°C for Ankara on August 24 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, following highs of 34–35°C on the prior two days. This aligns with the late-August seasonal decline in continental high temperatures, driven by gradually shortening daylight and stable high-pressure patterns that limit moisture and cloud formation while allowing strong daytime insolation. Ensemble model consensus and historical analogs for the period show limited variability, with most runs clustering between 31–34°C and low odds of extremes due to the absence of frontal systems or heat domes. Trader positioning around 32°C as the mode reflects weighting toward these official guidance values, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes accounting for minor forecast adjustments possible from the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,391終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 33°C for Ankara on August 24 under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, following highs of 34–35°C on the prior two days. This aligns with the late-August seasonal decline in continental high temperatures, driven by gradually shortening daylight and stable high-pressure patterns that limit moisture and cloud formation while allowing strong daytime insolation. Ensemble model consensus and historical analogs for the period show limited variability, with most runs clustering between 31–34°C and low odds of extremes due to the absence of frontal systems or heat domes. Trader positioning around 32°C as the mode reflects weighting toward these official guidance values, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes accounting for minor forecast adjustments possible from the final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問