Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の鄭州の最高気温は？
8月25日の鄭州の最高気温は？
32°C or higher 99%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
22°C or below 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C or higher
99%
32°C or higher 99%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
22°C or below 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
56%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast uncertainty in numerical weather models for Zhengzhou centers on tomorrow’s maximum temperature, with ensemble guidance showing spreads around 31–34°C amid scattered showers, broken cloud cover, and afternoon convection. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region typically feature highs near 31–33°C, but variable moisture and timing of precipitation can suppress daily peaks by 1–2°C. The closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C, 32°C-or-higher, and nearby bins reflect genuine ambiguity in steering patterns and instability, resolvable only by updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh historical analogs and climatological baselines against the latest model consensus ahead of the observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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