Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16°C 61%
15°C 34%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
新規
$20,624 Vol.
新規
$20,624 Vol.
2026/08/26
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
34%
16°C
61%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 34%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
新規
$20,624 Vol.
新規
$20,624 Vol.
2026/08/26
10°C or below
$1,332 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,333 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,671 Vol.
2%
15°C
$6,099 Vol.
34%
16°C
$3,900 Vol.
61%
17°C
$3,606 Vol.
7%
18°C
$1,636 Vol.
2%
19°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$20,624終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20,624終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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