Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8月26日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
8℃以下
1%
9°C
8%
10°C
13%
11°C
27%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14℃
26%
15℃
2%
16°C
1%
17℃
3%
18°C以上
2%
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
8℃以下
$15 Vol.
1%
9°C
$55 Vol.
8%
10°C
$10 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14℃
$0 Vol.
26%
15℃
$85 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17℃
$15 Vol.
3%
18°C以上
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$330終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$330終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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