Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の東京の最高気温は？
8月25日の東京の最高気温は？
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$109 Vol.
4%
32°C
$210 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1,097 Vol.
24%
34°C
$178 Vol.
33%
35°C
$60 Vol.
14%
36°C
$363 Vol.
4%
37°C
$152 Vol.
3%
38°C
$311 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$197 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$2,708終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,708終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問