Latest forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 26, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition, and current surface observations show elevated humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while enhancing the urban heat-island effect. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs have converged on this narrow range after earlier guidance showed slightly cooler solutions, tightening market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Minor model disagreements center on the timing and extent of any afternoon sea-breeze or convective development that could shave a degree or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の上海の最高気温は？
8月26日の上海の最高気温は？
32°C 35%
31°C 35%
33°C 16%
29°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
35%
32°C
35%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
31°C 35%
33°C 16%
29°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$373 Vol.
8%
30°C
$171 Vol.
8%
31°C
$126 Vol.
35%
32°C
$0 Vol.
35%
33°C
$1 Vol.
16%
34°C
$62 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 26, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition, and current surface observations show elevated humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while enhancing the urban heat-island effect. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs have converged on this narrow range after earlier guidance showed slightly cooler solutions, tightening market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Minor model disagreements center on the timing and extent of any afternoon sea-breeze or convective development that could shave a degree or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$732終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 26, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition, and current surface observations show elevated humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while enhancing the urban heat-island effect. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs have converged on this narrow range after earlier guidance showed slightly cooler solutions, tightening market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Minor model disagreements center on the timing and extent of any afternoon sea-breeze or convective development that could shave a degree or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$732終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 26, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition, and current surface observations show elevated humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while enhancing the urban heat-island effect. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs have converged on this narrow range after earlier guidance showed slightly cooler solutions, tightening market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Minor model disagreements center on the timing and extent of any afternoon sea-breeze or convective development that could shave a degree or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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