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Politique·Canada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politique·Canada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 47%

Benoit Clermont 47%

Anthony Lavoie 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 47%

Benoit Clermont 47%

Anthony Lavoie 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Benoit Clermont

Benoit Clermont

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Anthony Lavoie

Anthony Lavoie

$0 Vol.

42%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The tight contest in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne reflects a classic urban Montreal riding dynamic between the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing.** Cliche-Rivard captured the seat for QS in the 2023 by-election after long Liberal dominance, capitalizing on left-leaning voter preferences in the Southwest Montreal district. Clermont, a local resident, lawyer, and former television producer, brings fresh name recognition and community ties for the PLQ. Recent projections treat the race as a near toss-up, with vote estimates clustered around 34% for each of the top two parties amid broader provincial campaign dynamics following the August 27 election call. Low visibility for other contenders, including PQ and minor-party options, further concentrates support between the leaders. Separation could emerge from candidate debates, turnout patterns among progressive and centrist voters, or shifts in provincial polling that amplify incumbency effects versus Liberal recovery in the riding. Nomination deadlines in mid-September and ongoing campaign events through early October remain key near-term variables.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The tight contest in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne reflects a classic urban Montreal riding dynamic between the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing.** Cliche-Rivard captured the seat for QS in the 2023 by-election after long Liberal dominance, capitalizing on left-leaning voter preferences in the Southwest Montreal district. Clermont, a local resident, lawyer, and former television producer, brings fresh name recognition and community ties for the PLQ. Recent projections treat the race as a near toss-up, with vote estimates clustered around 34% for each of the top two parties amid broader provincial campaign dynamics following the August 27 election call. Low visibility for other contenders, including PQ and minor-party options, further concentrates support between the leaders. Separation could emerge from candidate debates, turnout patterns among progressive and centrist voters, or shifts in provincial polling that amplify incumbency effects versus Liberal recovery in the riding. Nomination deadlines in mid-September and ongoing campaign events through early October remain key near-term variables.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Guillaume Cliche-Rivard » à 47%, suivi de « Benoit Clermont » à 47%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Guillaume Cliche-Rivard » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Benoit Clermont » à 47%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.