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Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1
Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 100%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 100%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea 100%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 100%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 100%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 100%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea 100%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 100%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$0 Vol.

100%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$0 Vol.

100%

icon for Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$0 Vol.

100%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$0 Vol.

100%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$0 Vol.

100%

icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$0 Vol.

100%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$0 Vol.

99%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

Connexes

icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia va-t-il gagner l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 ?

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia va-t-il gagner l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 ?

42%
Oui
icon for Yiwarr McGrath va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection partielle de Mulka ?

Yiwarr McGrath va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection partielle de Mulka ?

88%
Oui
icon for Daniel Gobeil remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de 2026 à Chicoutimi—Le Fjord ?

Daniel Gobeil remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de 2026 à Chicoutimi—Le Fjord ?

84%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale » à 50%, suivi de « Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen » à 50%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » est « Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen » à 50%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Falealili 1 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.