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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec

icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec

Béatrice Hodonou 27%

Janny Gaspard 27%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 24%

Elena Penta 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Béatrice Hodonou 27%

Janny Gaspard 27%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 24%

Elena Penta 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Maude Brossard-Sabourin

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Elena Penta

Elena Penta

$21 Vol.

24%

icon for Alexandre Leduc

Alexandre Leduc

$0 Vol.

22%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding, trader consensus reflects a closely contested race between Québec solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc and Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin, with other candidates trailing in implied probabilities. Recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections from late August 2026 classify the seat as a toss-up between QS and PQ, consistent with the district's history of strong left-leaning support and the 2022 results transposed to new boundaries. Candidate nominations concluded in May and June 2026, with the writs issued on August 27 and the vote set for October 5. Local priorities such as housing affordability, social inequality, and community services continue to shape voter preferences in this Montreal district, while broader provincial polling trends between the main parties keep separation narrow absent late-campaign shifts in turnout or endorsements.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$21
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding, trader consensus reflects a closely contested race between Québec solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc and Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin, with other candidates trailing in implied probabilities. Recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections from late August 2026 classify the seat as a toss-up between QS and PQ, consistent with the district's history of strong left-leaning support and the 2022 results transposed to new boundaries. Candidate nominations concluded in May and June 2026, with the writs issued on August 27 and the vote set for October 5. Local priorities such as housing affordability, social inequality, and community services continue to shape voter preferences in this Montreal district, while broader provincial polling trends between the main parties keep separation narrow absent late-campaign shifts in turnout or endorsements.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$21
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Béatrice Hodonou » à 27%, suivi de « Janny Gaspard » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » est « Béatrice Hodonou » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Janny Gaspard » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.