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icon for Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis

Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis

icon for Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis

Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis

Karine Laflamme 84%

Brittany Blais 48%

Bernard Drainville 42%

Yanick Godbout 27%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Karine Laflamme 84%

Brittany Blais 48%

Bernard Drainville 42%

Yanick Godbout 27%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$0 Vol.

84%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Lévis riding, the Quebec general election on October 5, 2026, features a closely contested race among incumbent Bernard Drainville of the Coalition avenir Québec, Karine Laflamme of the Conservative Party of Quebec, Yanick Godbout of the Parti Québécois, Brittany Blais of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé of Québec solidaire. Trader consensus reflects the riding's status as a toss-up, driven by provincial shifts where the CAQ has lost ground since 2022 while Conservatives and the PQ have strengthened in the Chaudière-Appalaches region. Key local factors include debates over infrastructure such as the third link project, east-west traffic solutions, public transit options like a proposed tramway, and ongoing needs for healthcare and education facilities. The recent writ drop and early campaign positioning have kept probabilities tight, with no single party establishing a decisive edge in recent seat projections. Developments such as further polling on voter priorities, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial party standings could widen the gap ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Lévis riding, the Quebec general election on October 5, 2026, features a closely contested race among incumbent Bernard Drainville of the Coalition avenir Québec, Karine Laflamme of the Conservative Party of Quebec, Yanick Godbout of the Parti Québécois, Brittany Blais of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé of Québec solidaire. Trader consensus reflects the riding's status as a toss-up, driven by provincial shifts where the CAQ has lost ground since 2022 while Conservatives and the PQ have strengthened in the Chaudière-Appalaches region. Key local factors include debates over infrastructure such as the third link project, east-west traffic solutions, public transit options like a proposed tramway, and ongoing needs for healthcare and education facilities. The recent writ drop and early campaign positioning have kept probabilities tight, with no single party establishing a decisive edge in recent seat projections. Developments such as further polling on voter priorities, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial party standings could widen the gap ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Karine Laflamme » à 42%, suivi de « Bernard Drainville » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis » est « Karine Laflamme » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bernard Drainville » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec à Lévis » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.