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Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3
Monde·Samoa

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 84%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 84%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 84%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 84%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 84%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 84%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$0 Vol.

84%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$0 Vol.

84%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$0 Vol.

84%

icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$0 Vol.

42%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
18 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

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Oui
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Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni » à 42%, suivi de « Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » est « Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Vaimauga 3 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.