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icon for Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec

Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec

icon for Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec

Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec

Claude Reid 84%

Alexandre Daneau 43%

Angélika Homère 26%

Charles Royer Tremblay 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Claude Reid 84%

Alexandre Daneau 43%

Angélika Homère 26%

Charles Royer Tremblay 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Claude Reid

Claude Reid

$0 Vol.

84%

icon for Alexandre Daneau

Alexandre Daneau

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Angélika Homère

Angélika Homère

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Charles Royer Tremblay

Charles Royer Tremblay

$0 Vol.

26%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain tightly clustered among several candidates because no single contender has established a decisive local advantage.** The incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces a competitive field that includes Charles Royer Tremblay for the Parti libéral du Québec, Alexandre Daneau for the Parti Québécois, and Angélika Homère for the Parti conservateur du Québec. All four parties maintain organized campaigns with candidates confirmed by late August, and the broader provincial contest shows volatile support among the CAQ, PQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Local dynamics reinforce the balance: the riding’s mix of suburban and regional voters, combined with the absence of recent riding-specific polling, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, preference flows among francophone voters, and any late campaign focus on economic or sovereignty issues. The market’s near-even pricing across listed names and “Other” reflects this fragmentation and the limited time remaining for differentiation before ballots are cast. Further candidate debates, party leader visits, or riding-level surveys within the next few weeks could begin to separate the probabilities by clarifying voter preferences among the main options.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain tightly clustered among several candidates because no single contender has established a decisive local advantage.** The incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces a competitive field that includes Charles Royer Tremblay for the Parti libéral du Québec, Alexandre Daneau for the Parti Québécois, and Angélika Homère for the Parti conservateur du Québec. All four parties maintain organized campaigns with candidates confirmed by late August, and the broader provincial contest shows volatile support among the CAQ, PQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Local dynamics reinforce the balance: the riding’s mix of suburban and regional voters, combined with the absence of recent riding-specific polling, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, preference flows among francophone voters, and any late campaign focus on economic or sovereignty issues. The market’s near-even pricing across listed names and “Other” reflects this fragmentation and the limited time remaining for differentiation before ballots are cast. Further candidate debates, party leader visits, or riding-level surveys within the next few weeks could begin to separate the probabilities by clarifying voter preferences among the main options.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Alexandre Daneau » à 43%, suivi de « Claude Reid » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » est « Alexandre Daneau » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Claude Reid » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Beauharnois Vainqueur de l'élection à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.