Skip to main content
icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Jérôme Gagnon 43%

Donald Martel 42%

Guillaume Langlois 42%

Sophie Martinbeault 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Jérôme Gagnon 43%

Donald Martel 42%

Guillaume Langlois 42%

Sophie Martinbeault 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Donald Martel, Parti Québécois candidate Jérôme Gagnon, and Conservative Party of Québec nominee Guillaume Langlois, with the Liberal candidate Sophie Martinbeault also in contention. Recent candidate nominations, including Gagnon's May 2026 PQ investiture victory, have set the field ahead of the October 5 election, while updated provincial projections show narrow margins driven by shifting voter preferences across parties in Centre-du-Québec. Incumbency advantages for Martel, PQ organizational strength in the riding, and broader provincial dynamics around the CAQ government continue to keep probabilities closely balanced, with separation likely hinging on the fall campaign launch, local turnout patterns, and any late shifts in Quebec-wide polling.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Donald Martel, Parti Québécois candidate Jérôme Gagnon, and Conservative Party of Québec nominee Guillaume Langlois, with the Liberal candidate Sophie Martinbeault also in contention. Recent candidate nominations, including Gagnon's May 2026 PQ investiture victory, have set the field ahead of the October 5 election, while updated provincial projections show narrow margins driven by shifting voter preferences across parties in Centre-du-Québec. Incumbency advantages for Martel, PQ organizational strength in the riding, and broader provincial dynamics around the CAQ government continue to keep probabilities closely balanced, with separation likely hinging on the fall campaign launch, local turnout patterns, and any late shifts in Quebec-wide polling.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Connexes

icon for Andrés Fontecilla gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Laurier-Dorion ?

Andrés Fontecilla gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Laurier-Dorion ?

43%
Oui
icon for Will Vincent Marissal win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Vincent Marissal win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?

43%
icon for Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

43%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jérôme Gagnon » à 43%, suivi de « Donald Martel » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Jérôme Gagnon » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Donald Martel » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.