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icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Isabelle Blais 47%

Simon Allaire 45%

Nancy Mignault 25%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Isabelle Blais 47%

Simon Allaire 45%

Nancy Mignault 25%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Isabelle Blais

Isabelle Blais

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Simon Allaire

Simon Allaire

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Nancy Mignault

Nancy Mignault

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Marc-André Cloutier

Marc-André Cloutier

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Simon Piotte

Simon Piotte

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Connexes

icon for Sol Zanetti remportera-t-il la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Jean-Lesage ?

Sol Zanetti remportera-t-il la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Jean-Lesage ?

50%
Oui
icon for Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

45%
icon for Mathieu Rivest va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Côte-du-Sud ?

Mathieu Rivest va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Côte-du-Sud ?

43%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Isabelle Blais » à 47%, suivi de « Simon Allaire » à 46%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Isabelle Blais » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Simon Allaire » à 46%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.