The market assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation an 81.5% probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, well ahead of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This consensus reflects the CPRF’s established regional organizations, consistent polling performance in the low-to-mid teens, and status as the leading systemic opposition force under the mixed electoral system. Recent surveys show New People occasionally closing the gap through targeted appeals, yet traders discount its ability to overtake the Communists given weaker grassroots infrastructure. The LDPR trails amid leadership transitions and organizational strains. United Russia remains the clear frontrunner for first place, while court actions excluding smaller parties like Yabloko from the ballot have minimal bearing on the second-place contest. The election date and 5% threshold further anchor expectations around established parliamentary parties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 82%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 11.3%
New People (NL) 7.9%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$319,395 Vol.
$319,395 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
82%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
11%
New People (NL)
8%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Iabloko
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 82%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 11.3%
New People (NL) 7.9%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$319,395 Vol.
$319,395 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
United Russia (ER)
$37,463 Vol.
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$82,037 Vol.
82%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$12,687 Vol.
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$70,502 Vol.
11%
New People (NL)
$42,445 Vol.
8%
Rodina
$19,680 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 Vol.
<1%
Iabloko
$43,006 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The market assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation an 81.5% probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, well ahead of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This consensus reflects the CPRF’s established regional organizations, consistent polling performance in the low-to-mid teens, and status as the leading systemic opposition force under the mixed electoral system. Recent surveys show New People occasionally closing the gap through targeted appeals, yet traders discount its ability to overtake the Communists given weaker grassroots infrastructure. The LDPR trails amid leadership transitions and organizational strains. United Russia remains the clear frontrunner for first place, while court actions excluding smaller parties like Yabloko from the ballot have minimal bearing on the second-place contest. The election date and 5% threshold further anchor expectations around established parliamentary parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volume
$319,395Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The market assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation an 81.5% probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, well ahead of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This consensus reflects the CPRF’s established regional organizations, consistent polling performance in the low-to-mid teens, and status as the leading systemic opposition force under the mixed electoral system. Recent surveys show New People occasionally closing the gap through targeted appeals, yet traders discount its ability to overtake the Communists given weaker grassroots infrastructure. The LDPR trails amid leadership transitions and organizational strains. United Russia remains the clear frontrunner for first place, while court actions excluding smaller parties like Yabloko from the ballot have minimal bearing on the second-place contest. The election date and 5% threshold further anchor expectations around established parliamentary parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$319,395Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation an 81.5% probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, well ahead of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People. This consensus reflects the CPRF’s established regional organizations, consistent polling performance in the low-to-mid teens, and status as the leading systemic opposition force under the mixed electoral system. Recent surveys show New People occasionally closing the gap through targeted appeals, yet traders discount its ability to overtake the Communists given weaker grassroots infrastructure. The LDPR trails amid leadership transitions and organizational strains. United Russia remains the clear frontrunner for first place, while court actions excluding smaller parties like Yabloko from the ballot have minimal bearing on the second-place contest. The election date and 5% threshold further anchor expectations around established parliamentary parties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38%
Est-ce que Russie unie (ER) remportera le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
98%
Oui
Le parti Russie unie (ER) obtiendra-t-il le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
73%
Oui
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