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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Élections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Élections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$296,317 Vol.

16 avr. 2027
Polymarket

$296,317 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 Vol.

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,484 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 Vol.

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,452 Vol.

85%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 Vol.

81%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,482 Vol.

77%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,826 Vol.

63%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,957 Vol.

59%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,773 Vol.

56%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,860 Vol.

44%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$14,209 Vol.

42%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,296 Vol.

31%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,217 Vol.

31%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,956 Vol.

30%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$6,992 Vol.

27%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,602 Vol.

13%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,455 Vol.

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,011 Vol.

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 Vol.

12%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,504 Vol.

12%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,697 Vol.

10%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 Vol.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 Vol.

8%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,983 Vol.

7%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$12,661 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 Vol.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 Vol.

6%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$681 Vol.

5%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,609 Vol.

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 Vol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,400 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 Vol.

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 Vol.

3%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,512 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 Vol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 Vol.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 Vol.

2%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 Vol.

35%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field of declared or potential candidates after Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit ends his eligibility. Trader focus centers on Marine Le Pen's legal status following her upheld embezzlement conviction and partial appeal outcome, which shortened her ban and allowed her to confirm a run despite conditions she has rejected; National Rally polling leads the first round near 35 percent, with Jordan Bardella positioned as the fallback. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal anchor center-right efforts, Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' nomination, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads the left amid broader fragmentation. Upcoming party decisions and any further appeals will shape the final ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$296,317
Date de fin
17 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field of declared or potential candidates after Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit ends his eligibility. Trader focus centers on Marine Le Pen's legal status following her upheld embezzlement conviction and partial appeal outcome, which shortened her ban and allowed her to confirm a run despite conditions she has rejected; National Rally polling leads the first round near 35 percent, with Jordan Bardella positioned as the fallback. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal anchor center-right efforts, Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' nomination, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads the left amid broader fragmentation. Upcoming party decisions and any further appeals will shape the final ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$296,317
Date de fin
17 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

93%
icon for Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

33%
Oui
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 46+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 95%, suivi de « Marine Le Pen » à 88%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » a généré $296.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 22, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? », parcourez les 46+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » est « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marine Le Pen » à 88%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.