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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Élections·Élection Française

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Élections·Élection Française

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$64,852 Vol.

22 avr. 2027
Polymarket

$64,852 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,418 Vol.

61%

Jordan Bardella

$4,893 Vol.

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Vol.

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$511 Vol.

5%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Vol.

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Vol.

8%

Jean Castex

$671 Vol.

5%

Gérald Darmanin

$863 Vol.

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,054 Vol.

18%

François Bayrou

$553 Vol.

6%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$547 Vol.

45%

Carole Delga

$184 Vol.

12%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Vol.

37%

François Hollande

$1,029 Vol.

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,760 Vol.

94%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 Vol.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Vol.

6%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Vol.

52%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several figures have already declared or secured nominations ahead of the April 2027 vote, following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility under the two-term limit. Marine Le Pen confirmed her candidacy in July 2026 after an appeals court shortened her ineligibility period stemming from a prior conviction, though further appeals remain pending. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has likewise stated his intention to run, while Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau secured formal backing from their respective centrist and Republican camps. Édouard Philippe is scheduled to launch campaign events, amid reports of roughly thirty potential contenders overall. Internal party divisions on candidate selection, left-wing alliance strains, and the two-round electoral system continue to shape positioning as additional announcements and legal developments approach.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$64,852
Date de fin
23 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several figures have already declared or secured nominations ahead of the April 2027 vote, following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility under the two-term limit. Marine Le Pen confirmed her candidacy in July 2026 after an appeals court shortened her ineligibility period stemming from a prior conviction, though further appeals remain pending. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has likewise stated his intention to run, while Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau secured formal backing from their respective centrist and Republican camps. Édouard Philippe is scheduled to launch campaign events, amid reports of roughly thirty potential contenders overall. Internal party divisions on candidate selection, left-wing alliance strains, and the two-round electoral system continue to shape positioning as additional announcements and legal developments approach.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$64,852
Date de fin
23 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Connexes

icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

33%
Oui
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

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Questions fréquentes

« French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Gabriel Attal » à 100%, suivi de « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » a généré $64.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 22, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » est « Gabriel Attal » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.