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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?

icon for Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?

325–339 43%

340–354 22%

310–324 18.1%

355+ 8%

Polymarket

$203,282 Vol.

325–339 43%

340–354 22%

310–324 18.1%

355+ 8%

Polymarket

$203,282 Vol.

<280

$36,052 Vol.

4%

280–294

$17,964 Vol.

3%

295–309

$12,297 Vol.

5%

310–324

$15,665 Vol.

18%

325–339

$29,025 Vol.

43%

340–354

$50,112 Vol.

22%

355+

$42,198 Vol.

8%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and facing a fragmented opposition in a mixed system of 225 party-list and 225 single-member seats. Kremlin-directed preparations, including party primaries that favored loyalists and regional mobilization targets, aim to secure turnout and results that preserve a constitutional majority above 300 seats. Recent state-affiliated polling places the party near 40–48% on the proportional list, while administrative resources and limited genuine competition in constituencies support projections of 310–354 total seats. Putin’s late-August party congress remarks reinforcing the war stance further align the campaign with continuity. These dynamics explain why trader consensus clusters on the 325–339 and 340–354 ranges as the most probable outcomes, with lower bands reflecting downside risks from any unexpected erosion in single-member performance.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$203,282
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and facing a fragmented opposition in a mixed system of 225 party-list and 225 single-member seats. Kremlin-directed preparations, including party primaries that favored loyalists and regional mobilization targets, aim to secure turnout and results that preserve a constitutional majority above 300 seats. Recent state-affiliated polling places the party near 40–48% on the proportional list, while administrative resources and limited genuine competition in constituencies support projections of 310–354 total seats. Putin’s late-August party congress remarks reinforcing the war stance further align the campaign with continuity. These dynamics explain why trader consensus clusters on the 325–339 and 340–354 ranges as the most probable outcomes, with lower bands reflecting downside risks from any unexpected erosion in single-member performance.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$203,282
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Connexes

icon for Le parti Russie unie (ER) obtiendra-t-il le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?

Le parti Russie unie (ER) obtiendra-t-il le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?

71%
Oui
icon for Élections en Russie : Russie unie gagne-t-elle dans toutes les régions ?

Élections en Russie : Russie unie gagne-t-elle dans toutes les régions ?

60%
Oui
icon for Est-ce que Russie unie (ER) remportera le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?

Est-ce que Russie unie (ER) remportera le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?

99%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 325–339 » à 43%, suivi de « 340–354 » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » a généré $203.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » est « 325–339 » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 340–354 » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de sièges la Russie unie remportera-t-elle aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.