Recent forecast consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC places Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, near 11–15 °C under light winds and variable cloud cover. Trader pricing reflects substantial uncertainty, with 7 °C or below leading at 34.5 % amid spread in model outputs that could allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear or a cooler air mass advects in. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), wind speed affecting mixing, and any late-day frontal passage; historical August lows average around 12–13 °C, so the market’s emphasis on cooler outcomes likely stems from recent model runs highlighting downside risk before final observations resolve the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
7°C or below 67%
11°C 37%
10°C 36%
12°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
67%
8°C
9%
9°C
12%
10°C
21%
11°C
29%
12°C
19%
13°C
18%
14°C
8%
15°C
5%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
1%
7°C or below 67%
11°C 37%
10°C 36%
12°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$66 Vol.
67%
8°C
$16 Vol.
9%
9°C
$0 Vol.
12%
10°C
$4 Vol.
21%
11°C
$5 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
18%
14°C
$4 Vol.
8%
15°C
$51 Vol.
5%
16°C
$145 Vol.
11%
17°C or higher
$63 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC places Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, near 11–15 °C under light winds and variable cloud cover. Trader pricing reflects substantial uncertainty, with 7 °C or below leading at 34.5 % amid spread in model outputs that could allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear or a cooler air mass advects in. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), wind speed affecting mixing, and any late-day frontal passage; historical August lows average around 12–13 °C, so the market’s emphasis on cooler outcomes likely stems from recent model runs highlighting downside risk before final observations resolve the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$355End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC places Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, near 11–15 °C under light winds and variable cloud cover. Trader pricing reflects substantial uncertainty, with 7 °C or below leading at 34.5 % amid spread in model outputs that could allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear or a cooler air mass advects in. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), wind speed affecting mixing, and any late-day frontal passage; historical August lows average around 12–13 °C, so the market’s emphasis on cooler outcomes likely stems from recent model runs highlighting downside risk before final observations resolve the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$355End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC places Warsaw’s minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, near 11–15 °C under light winds and variable cloud cover. Trader pricing reflects substantial uncertainty, with 7 °C or below leading at 34.5 % amid spread in model outputs that could allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear or a cooler air mass advects in. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), wind speed affecting mixing, and any late-day frontal passage; historical August lows average around 12–13 °C, so the market’s emphasis on cooler outcomes likely stems from recent model runs highlighting downside risk before final observations resolve the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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