Trader sentiment for Toronto's August 23 lowest temperature reflects uncertainty in overnight cooling at Pearson Airport amid a passing weather system with thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Forecasts indicate daytime highs near 21–25°C, but evening and pre-dawn conditions depend on wind speed, precipitation timing, and radiative cooling rates under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which can limit temperature drops compared to clear conditions. Official guidance points to lows around 13–19°C, with model runs showing modest spread tied to the strength of any cooler air advection and urban versus airport microclimate differences. The near-even split between sub-10°C and 16°C outcomes captures this variability, as stronger storm outflows or clearer breaks could push readings lower while persistent moisture and mixing hold them near seasonal norms of 15–17°C. Updated Environment Canada and NOAA observations through the evening will clarify resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
10°C or below 98%
16°C 47%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
$1,725 Vol.
$1,725 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
98%
11°C
5%
12°C
33%
13°C
33%
14°C
33%
15°C
33%
16°C
47%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 98%
16°C 47%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
$1,725 Vol.
$1,725 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$15 Vol.
98%
11°C
$85 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
33%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$0 Vol.
47%
17°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Toronto's August 23 lowest temperature reflects uncertainty in overnight cooling at Pearson Airport amid a passing weather system with thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Forecasts indicate daytime highs near 21–25°C, but evening and pre-dawn conditions depend on wind speed, precipitation timing, and radiative cooling rates under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which can limit temperature drops compared to clear conditions. Official guidance points to lows around 13–19°C, with model runs showing modest spread tied to the strength of any cooler air advection and urban versus airport microclimate differences. The near-even split between sub-10°C and 16°C outcomes captures this variability, as stronger storm outflows or clearer breaks could push readings lower while persistent moisture and mixing hold them near seasonal norms of 15–17°C. Updated Environment Canada and NOAA observations through the evening will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,725End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Toronto's August 23 lowest temperature reflects uncertainty in overnight cooling at Pearson Airport amid a passing weather system with thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Forecasts indicate daytime highs near 21–25°C, but evening and pre-dawn conditions depend on wind speed, precipitation timing, and radiative cooling rates under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which can limit temperature drops compared to clear conditions. Official guidance points to lows around 13–19°C, with model runs showing modest spread tied to the strength of any cooler air advection and urban versus airport microclimate differences. The near-even split between sub-10°C and 16°C outcomes captures this variability, as stronger storm outflows or clearer breaks could push readings lower while persistent moisture and mixing hold them near seasonal norms of 15–17°C. Updated Environment Canada and NOAA observations through the evening will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,725End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Toronto's August 23 lowest temperature reflects uncertainty in overnight cooling at Pearson Airport amid a passing weather system with thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Forecasts indicate daytime highs near 21–25°C, but evening and pre-dawn conditions depend on wind speed, precipitation timing, and radiative cooling rates under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which can limit temperature drops compared to clear conditions. Official guidance points to lows around 13–19°C, with model runs showing modest spread tied to the strength of any cooler air advection and urban versus airport microclimate differences. The near-even split between sub-10°C and 16°C outcomes captures this variability, as stronger storm outflows or clearer breaks could push readings lower while persistent moisture and mixing hold them near seasonal norms of 15–17°C. Updated Environment Canada and NOAA observations through the evening will clarify resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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