Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for Miami on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, consistent with the market’s leading bracket. Typical August nocturnal cooling is limited by high humidity, light easterly flow, and urban heat retention, keeping minima rarely below 78°F. Recent drier conditions have slightly reduced cloud cover but not enough to allow greater radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 86°F further anchor the lower boundary layer. With no frontal passages or unusual steering patterns expected, the 80–81°F range captures the highest implied probability at 38 percent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 8?
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
71°F or below
$340 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$390 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$262 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$115 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$163 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$960 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$334 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$599 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$395 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$383 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for Miami on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, consistent with the market’s leading bracket. Typical August nocturnal cooling is limited by high humidity, light easterly flow, and urban heat retention, keeping minima rarely below 78°F. Recent drier conditions have slightly reduced cloud cover but not enough to allow greater radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 86°F further anchor the lower boundary layer. With no frontal passages or unusual steering patterns expected, the 80–81°F range captures the highest implied probability at 38 percent.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$4,324End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for Miami on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, consistent with the market’s leading bracket. Typical August nocturnal cooling is limited by high humidity, light easterly flow, and urban heat retention, keeping minima rarely below 78°F. Recent drier conditions have slightly reduced cloud cover but not enough to allow greater radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 86°F further anchor the lower boundary layer. With no frontal passages or unusual steering patterns expected, the 80–81°F range captures the highest implied probability at 38 percent.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,324End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for Miami on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, consistent with the market’s leading bracket. Typical August nocturnal cooling is limited by high humidity, light easterly flow, and urban heat retention, keeping minima rarely below 78°F. Recent drier conditions have slightly reduced cloud cover but not enough to allow greater radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 86°F further anchor the lower boundary layer. With no frontal passages or unusual steering patterns expected, the 80–81°F range captures the highest implied probability at 38 percent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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