Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures near 36–38°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and weak steering winds that favor daytime heating. Official outlooks show potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the daily maximum through evaporative cooling and cloud cover while aligning with historical August averages around 34°C and occasional extremes above 37°C. Model consensus remains sensitive to timing of any rain bands, supporting the market’s clustering around 37°C as the implied mode ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
37°C 45%
38°C 21%
36°C 17%
39°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
12%
36°C
17%
37°C
45%
38°C
21%
39°C
13%
40°C or higher
3%
37°C 45%
38°C 21%
36°C 17%
39°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$70 Vol.
1%
34°C
$32 Vol.
6%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
17%
37°C
$56 Vol.
45%
38°C
$0 Vol.
21%
39°C
$2 Vol.
13%
40°C or higher
$99 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures near 36–38°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and weak steering winds that favor daytime heating. Official outlooks show potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the daily maximum through evaporative cooling and cloud cover while aligning with historical August averages around 34°C and occasional extremes above 37°C. Model consensus remains sensitive to timing of any rain bands, supporting the market’s clustering around 37°C as the implied mode ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$208End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures near 36–38°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and weak steering winds that favor daytime heating. Official outlooks show potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the daily maximum through evaporative cooling and cloud cover while aligning with historical August averages around 34°C and occasional extremes above 37°C. Model consensus remains sensitive to timing of any rain bands, supporting the market’s clustering around 37°C as the implied mode ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$208End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures near 36–38°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and weak steering winds that favor daytime heating. Official outlooks show potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the daily maximum through evaporative cooling and cloud cover while aligning with historical August averages around 34°C and occasional extremes above 37°C. Model consensus remains sensitive to timing of any rain bands, supporting the market’s clustering around 37°C as the implied mode ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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