Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a Helsinki minimum near 11°C on August 24, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and precipitation timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical August climatology of 9–13°C lows at Helsinki-Vantaa. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing potential for brief clear spells that could dip readings slightly below 11°C versus persistent stratus that would hold values higher, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
11°C 37%
8°C or below 34%
12°C 23%
10°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
34%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
29%
12°C
23%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
11°C 37%
8°C or below 34%
12°C 23%
10°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
$26 Vol.
34%
9°C
$6 Vol.
19%
10°C
$6 Vol.
19%
11°C
$5 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$4 Vol.
19%
15°C
$68 Vol.
2%
16°C
$145 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a Helsinki minimum near 11°C on August 24, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and precipitation timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical August climatology of 9–13°C lows at Helsinki-Vantaa. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing potential for brief clear spells that could dip readings slightly below 11°C versus persistent stratus that would hold values higher, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$270End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a Helsinki minimum near 11°C on August 24, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and precipitation timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical August climatology of 9–13°C lows at Helsinki-Vantaa. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing potential for brief clear spells that could dip readings slightly below 11°C versus persistent stratus that would hold values higher, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$270End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office indicate a Helsinki minimum near 11°C on August 24, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and precipitation timing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical August climatology of 9–13°C lows at Helsinki-Vantaa. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing potential for brief clear spells that could dip readings slightly below 11°C versus persistent stratus that would hold values higher, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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