Current numerical weather prediction models favor a daytime maximum of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C (41.5%) and 35°C (30%) outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge supports clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, while light northeast winds and elevated humidity (typically 65–85%) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heat retention in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Recent ensemble runs show low spread, consistent with the prior day’s 35°C high and late-August climatology of 33–38°C peaks. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
36°C 41%
35°C 31%
37°C or higher 15%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
31%
36°C
41%
37°C or higher
15%
36°C 41%
35°C 31%
37°C or higher 15%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$609 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,037 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,326 Vol.
1%
33°C
$640 Vol.
4%
34°C
$1,072 Vol.
11%
35°C
$952 Vol.
31%
36°C
$1,031 Vol.
41%
37°C or higher
$1,005 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models favor a daytime maximum of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C (41.5%) and 35°C (30%) outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge supports clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, while light northeast winds and elevated humidity (typically 65–85%) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heat retention in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Recent ensemble runs show low spread, consistent with the prior day’s 35°C high and late-August climatology of 33–38°C peaks. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,781End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models favor a daytime maximum of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C (41.5%) and 35°C (30%) outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge supports clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, while light northeast winds and elevated humidity (typically 65–85%) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heat retention in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Recent ensemble runs show low spread, consistent with the prior day’s 35°C high and late-August climatology of 33–38°C peaks. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,781End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models favor a daytime maximum of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C (41.5%) and 35°C (30%) outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge supports clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, while light northeast winds and elevated humidity (typically 65–85%) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heat retention in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Recent ensemble runs show low spread, consistent with the prior day’s 35°C high and late-August climatology of 33–38°C peaks. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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