Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the eastern Mediterranean indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, predominantly clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cooling and moisture influx. This aligns with climatological averages for the region and model consensus projecting stable thermal conditions without significant advection of cooler air. The market's near-certain pricing on 33°C reflects this strong observational and modeling agreement. Unanticipated increases in cloud cover, a shift in sea breeze timing, or localized measurement variations at official stations could still allow deviation to adjacent values before final daily records close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$23,493 Vol.
$23,493 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$23,493 Vol.
$23,493 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$915 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,492 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,030 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,944 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,115 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$2,898 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,185 Vol.
No
36°C
$516 Vol.
No
37°C
$502 Vol.
No
38°C
$456 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$441 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the eastern Mediterranean indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, predominantly clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cooling and moisture influx. This aligns with climatological averages for the region and model consensus projecting stable thermal conditions without significant advection of cooler air. The market's near-certain pricing on 33°C reflects this strong observational and modeling agreement. Unanticipated increases in cloud cover, a shift in sea breeze timing, or localized measurement variations at official stations could still allow deviation to adjacent values before final daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,493End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the eastern Mediterranean indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, predominantly clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cooling and moisture influx. This aligns with climatological averages for the region and model consensus projecting stable thermal conditions without significant advection of cooler air. The market's near-certain pricing on 33°C reflects this strong observational and modeling agreement. Unanticipated increases in cloud cover, a shift in sea breeze timing, or localized measurement variations at official stations could still allow deviation to adjacent values before final daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,493End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the eastern Mediterranean indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, predominantly clear skies, and light westerly winds that limit cooling and moisture influx. This aligns with climatological averages for the region and model consensus projecting stable thermal conditions without significant advection of cooler air. The market's near-certain pricing on 33°C reflects this strong observational and modeling agreement. Unanticipated increases in cloud cover, a shift in sea breeze timing, or localized measurement variations at official stations could still allow deviation to adjacent values before final daily records close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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