Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France, the Met Office, and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a cooling trend across northern France after mid-August heat, with Paris expected to reach a daily maximum of 31°C under partly sunny conditions and light northerly winds. Model consensus supports this value as the peak, consistent with observed surface temperatures and seasonal baselines for mid-August. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects high confidence in these official projections and the market’s resolution criteria based on verified station data. Unexpected afternoon convection or a late model shift could still alter the exact recorded high, though such changes appear unlikely given current stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 16?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$92,060 Vol.
$92,060 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$92,060 Vol.
$92,060 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
No
26°C
$409 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,481 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,488 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,896 Vol.
No
30°C
$33,561 Vol.
No
31°C
$16,929 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$11,130 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,165 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,499 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$296 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France, the Met Office, and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a cooling trend across northern France after mid-August heat, with Paris expected to reach a daily maximum of 31°C under partly sunny conditions and light northerly winds. Model consensus supports this value as the peak, consistent with observed surface temperatures and seasonal baselines for mid-August. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects high confidence in these official projections and the market’s resolution criteria based on verified station data. Unexpected afternoon convection or a late model shift could still alter the exact recorded high, though such changes appear unlikely given current stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$92,060End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France, the Met Office, and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a cooling trend across northern France after mid-August heat, with Paris expected to reach a daily maximum of 31°C under partly sunny conditions and light northerly winds. Model consensus supports this value as the peak, consistent with observed surface temperatures and seasonal baselines for mid-August. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects high confidence in these official projections and the market’s resolution criteria based on verified station data. Unexpected afternoon convection or a late model shift could still alter the exact recorded high, though such changes appear unlikely given current stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92,060End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France, the Met Office, and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a cooling trend across northern France after mid-August heat, with Paris expected to reach a daily maximum of 31°C under partly sunny conditions and light northerly winds. Model consensus supports this value as the peak, consistent with observed surface temperatures and seasonal baselines for mid-August. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects high confidence in these official projections and the market’s resolution criteria based on verified station data. Unexpected afternoon convection or a late model shift could still alter the exact recorded high, though such changes appear unlikely given current stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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