Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 14?
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$201 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$346 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$85 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$94 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$25 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$172 Vol.
9%
82-83°F
$92 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$111 Vol.
33%
86-87°F
$30 Vol.
7%
88°F or higher
$22 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,379End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,379End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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